These are the 10 names I am backing for the week of October 05, 2026, and below each one I show my work: the momentum, the technicals, the sentiment, the fundamentals, and the macro I am leaning on. I do not ask you to take the picks on faith — I ask you to read the evidence and disagree if you can. The pillar weights and a few model internals stay redacted because they are the edge; everything that can be shown, is.
Macro environment
Here is how I read the backdrop: volatility is cheap at 16.4 — barely 1.03% a day — and cheap vol is exactly where I watch crowding hardest, the 10y−2y curve has steepened to +0.45, a quieter vote of confidence in duration, high-yield spreads at 3.24 are still contained, so credit is not yet contradicting the tape, and the S&P's trailing month is -0.3%, the trend I am actually trading against.
Volatility is the first thing I price, because it sets the size of every other bet. I scale gross exposure inversely to realised vol — target the risk, not the notional — so a calmer tape lets the book breathe and a violent one pulls it in automatically:
$$\sigma_{\text{daily}}\approx\dfrac{\mathrm{VIX}}{\sqrt{252}}\qquad w_{\text{gross}}\;\propto\;\dfrac{\sigma_{\text{target}}}{\sigma_{\text{daily}}}$$
Source: fred · as of 2026-10-04
How I make the call
I score every candidate from 0–100 on several independent pillars,
then collapse them into one composite. The weighting is the part I keep back,
but the structure is simple:
$$\text{Composite}(x) \;=\; \sum_i w_i \, S_i(x)$$
where \(S_i\) is a pillar score and \(w_i\) its weight. The exact pillar
weights are mine to keep, so they are withheld; what I will tell you is
that a neutral-pillar guard drops any pillar sitting at 50 (no signal) and
renormalises the rest, so a silent factor never dilutes a loud one.
For the expected weekly return I do not trust a raw historical average at a
given score — small samples lie. I shrink it toward a prior, blending the
realised returns of past names that scored nearby with that prior in proportion
to how much evidence I actually have:
$$\hat{r}(s) \;=\; \frac{n\,\bar r_{\text{near}} + k\,\pi(s)}{n + k}$$
Here \(k\) (the shrinkage strength) and the prior \(\pi\) take proprietary
values , and they are exactly what I re-estimate as new weeks land —
this is where the framework learns. The standard indicator formulas below I
show in full, because none of that is the edge.
Indicator formula reference
RSI: $$\mathrm{RSI}_{14}=100-\frac{100}{1+RS},\quad RS=\frac{\overline{\text{gain}}_{14}}{\overline{\text{loss}}_{14}}$$
MACD: $$\mathrm{MACD}=\mathrm{EMA}_{12}-\mathrm{EMA}_{26},\quad \text{signal}=\mathrm{EMA}_9(\mathrm{MACD})$$
ATR: $$\mathrm{ATR}_{14}=\tfrac{1}{14}\sum TR,\quad TR=\max\big(H-L,\,|H-C_{-1}|,\,|L-C_{-1}|\big)$$
Bollinger: $$\mathrm{BB}=\mathrm{SMA}_{20}\pm 2\,\sigma_{20}$$
Cross-sectional z: $$z=\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}$$
The picks
#1 ABCL
ABCL
Life Sciences Tools & Services
Composite 79.0 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
|---|
| Momentum | 53.6 | |
| Catalyst | 70.0 | |
| Sentiment | 59.0 | |
| Technical | 78.2 | |
| Fundamental | 52.9 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 79.0 | — |
| Universe percentile | 98 | |
Technicals (2026-10-02)
| RSI(14) | 63.7 |
ADX(14) | 33.5 |
| MACD | 0.988 |
Signal | 0.917 |
| MACD hist | 0.071 |
ATR(14) | 0.76 |
| SMA 20 | 12.44 |
SMA 50 | 10.38 |
| SMA 200 | 5.92 |
Vol ratio | 0.80 |
| Boll upper | 14.90 |
Boll lower | 9.99 |
| CCI(20) | 98.1 |
MFI(14) | 70.0 |
Fundamentals
| P/E | n/a |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | 1.06 |
P/S | 59.26 |
| ROE | -17.5 |
ROA | -12.4 |
| Net margin | n/a |
Rev growth | 101.3 |
| Debt/Equity | n/a |
EPS growth | n/a |
ABCL selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 79.0/100
#2 ACN
ACN
Technology
Composite 75.9 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
|---|
| Momentum | 47.7 | |
| Catalyst | 65.1 | |
| Sentiment | 52.0 | |
| Technical | 76.2 | |
| Fundamental | 57.9 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 75.9 | — |
| Universe percentile | 95 | |
Technicals (2026-10-02)
| RSI(14) | 59.1 |
ADX(14) | 18.5 |
| MACD | 3.557 |
Signal | 2.309 |
| MACD hist | 1.248 |
ATR(14) | 9.76 |
| SMA 20 | 185.32 |
SMA 50 | 179.12 |
| SMA 200 | 196.36 |
Vol ratio | 1.86 |
| Boll upper | 203.58 |
Boll lower | 167.06 |
| CCI(20) | 149.5 |
MFI(14) | 52.0 |
Fundamentals
| P/E | 14.5 |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | 3.68 |
P/S | 1.64 |
| ROE | 26.7 |
ROA | 12.2 |
| Net margin | n/a |
Rev growth | 6.5 |
| Debt/Equity | n/a |
EPS growth | 11.7 |
ACN selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 75.9/100
#3 TWLO
TWLO
Technology
Composite 72.3 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
|---|
| Momentum | 61.1 | |
| Catalyst | 80.0 | |
| Sentiment | 58.3 | |
| Technical | 65.7 | |
| Fundamental | 70.0 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 72.3 | — |
| Universe percentile | 92 | |
Technicals (2026-10-02)
| RSI(14) | 65.8 |
ADX(14) | 32.9 |
| MACD | 18.210 |
Signal | 15.259 |
| MACD hist | 2.951 |
ATR(14) | 13.35 |
| SMA 20 | 261.49 |
SMA 50 | 237.16 |
| SMA 200 | 176.10 |
Vol ratio | 1.25 |
| Boll upper | 317.77 |
Boll lower | 205.21 |
| CCI(20) | 93.4 |
MFI(14) | 71.2 |
Fundamentals
| P/E | 1251.9 |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | 2.76 |
P/S | 8.36 |
| ROE | 14.2 |
ROA | 11.5 |
| Net margin | n/a |
Rev growth | 17.8 |
| Debt/Equity | n/a |
EPS growth | 5800.2 |
TWLO selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 72.3/100
#4 TWST
TWST
Biotechnology
Composite 68.9 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
|---|
| Momentum | 56.3 | |
| Catalyst | 50.0 | n/a |
| Sentiment | 73.8 | |
| Technical | 72.8 | |
| Fundamental | 56.6 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 68.9 | — |
| Universe percentile | 88 | |
Technicals (2026-10-02)
| RSI(14) | 70.6 |
ADX(14) | 43.8 |
| MACD | 16.591 |
Signal | 14.222 |
| MACD hist | 2.369 |
ATR(14) | 11.00 |
| SMA 20 | 158.12 |
SMA 50 | 134.72 |
| SMA 200 | 73.34 |
Vol ratio | 0.94 |
| Boll upper | 207.11 |
Boll lower | 109.12 |
| CCI(20) | 97.6 |
MFI(14) | 74.7 |
Fundamentals
| P/E | n/a |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | n/a |
P/S | n/a |
| ROE | -0.2 |
ROA | -0.1 |
| Net margin | -0.2 |
Rev growth | 0.2 |
| Debt/Equity | 0.00 |
EPS growth | 0.6 |
TWST selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 68.9/100
#5 LRCX
LRCX
Technology
Composite 63.6 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
|---|
| Momentum | 52.9 | |
| Catalyst | 69.2 | |
| Sentiment | 66.0 | |
| Technical | 70.8 | |
| Fundamental | 76.8 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 63.6 | — |
| Universe percentile | 85 | |
Technicals (2026-06-18)
| RSI(14) | 68.6 |
ADX(14) | 25.4 |
| MACD | 24.207 |
Signal | 19.991 |
| MACD hist | 4.216 |
ATR(14) | 22.04 |
| SMA 20 | 337.25 |
SMA 50 | 298.16 |
| SMA 200 | 210.07 |
Vol ratio | 1.00 |
| Boll upper | 391.83 |
Boll lower | 282.66 |
| CCI(20) | 154.1 |
MFI(14) | 71.8 |
Fundamentals
| P/E | n/a |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | n/a |
P/S | n/a |
| ROE | 0.6 |
ROA | 0.3 |
| Net margin | 0.3 |
Rev growth | 0.3 |
| Debt/Equity | 0.30 |
EPS growth | 0.4 |
LRCX selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 63.6/100
#6 AVT
AVT
Electrical Equipment
Composite 66.4 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
|---|
| Momentum | 49.1 | |
| Catalyst | 80.0 | |
| Sentiment | 55.4 | |
| Technical | 73.3 | |
| Fundamental | 55.1 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 66.4 | — |
| Universe percentile | 82 | |
Technicals
No indicators on file yet.
Fundamentals
| P/E | 24.5 |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | 1.43 |
P/S | 0.30 |
| ROE | 6.8 |
ROA | 2.5 |
| Net margin | n/a |
Rev growth | 24.5 |
| Debt/Equity | n/a |
EPS growth | 46.1 |
AVT selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 66.4/100
#7 BAND
BAND
Telecommunication
Composite 70.9 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
|---|
| Momentum | 56.1 | |
| Catalyst | 50.0 | n/a |
| Sentiment | 68.1 | |
| Technical | 66.1 | |
| Fundamental | 32.9 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 70.9 | — |
| Universe percentile | 78 | |
Technicals (2026-10-02)
| RSI(14) | 65.1 |
ADX(14) | 24.8 |
| MACD | 3.324 |
Signal | 2.285 |
| MACD hist | 1.039 |
ATR(14) | 3.95 |
| SMA 20 | 54.97 |
SMA 50 | 51.33 |
| SMA 200 | 37.55 |
Vol ratio | 0.71 |
| Boll upper | 67.87 |
Boll lower | 42.07 |
| CCI(20) | 106.0 |
MFI(14) | 72.8 |
Fundamentals
| P/E | n/a |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | n/a |
P/S | n/a |
| ROE | -0.0 |
ROA | -0.0 |
| Net margin | -0.0 |
Rev growth | 0.0 |
| Debt/Equity | 0.37 |
EPS growth | -0.8 |
BAND selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 70.9/100
#8 S
S
Technology
Composite 66.2 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
|---|
| Momentum | 56.5 | |
| Catalyst | 50.0 | n/a |
| Sentiment | 62.9 | |
| Technical | 64.6 | |
| Fundamental | 35.4 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 66.2 | — |
| Universe percentile | 75 | |
Technicals
No indicators on file yet.
Fundamentals
| P/E | n/a |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | 3.40 |
P/S | 8.71 |
| ROE | -23.2 |
ROA | -14.2 |
| Net margin | n/a |
Rev growth | 21.1 |
| Debt/Equity | n/a |
EPS growth | n/a |
S selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 66.2/100
#9 HHH
HHH
Real Estate
Composite 55.4 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
|---|
| Momentum | 50.2 | |
| Catalyst | 80.0 | |
| Sentiment | 63.5 | |
| Technical | 74.0 | |
| Fundamental | 56.9 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 55.4 | — |
| Universe percentile | 72 | |
Technicals (2026-10-02)
| RSI(14) | 60.2 |
ADX(14) | 26.7 |
| MACD | 1.990 |
Signal | 0.887 |
| MACD hist | 1.103 |
ATR(14) | 2.34 |
| SMA 20 | 65.79 |
SMA 50 | 65.90 |
| SMA 200 | 69.61 |
Vol ratio | 0.84 |
| Boll upper | 75.13 |
Boll lower | 56.45 |
| CCI(20) | 107.9 |
MFI(14) | 64.3 |
Fundamentals
| P/E | 34.2 |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | 1.25 |
P/S | 2.88 |
| ROE | 7.2 |
ROA | 2.4 |
| Net margin | n/a |
Rev growth | 34.0 |
| Debt/Equity | n/a |
EPS growth | 8.6 |
HHH selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 55.4/100
#10 SEI
SEI
Energy
Composite 60.8 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
|---|
| Momentum | 51.8 | |
| Catalyst | 50.0 | n/a |
| Sentiment | 64.8 | |
| Technical | 63.6 | |
| Fundamental | 65.6 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 60.8 | — |
| Universe percentile | 65 | |
Technicals
No indicators on file yet.
Fundamentals
| P/E | 199.1 |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | 5.58 |
P/S | 9.65 |
| ROE | 7.8 |
ROA | 2.0 |
| Net margin | n/a |
Rev growth | 70.5 |
| Debt/Equity | n/a |
EPS growth | 27.3 |
SEI selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 60.8/100
A standing note on method. I run this book in paper-trading mode, so every fill you see is simulated rather than a realised, audited track record — I would rather state that plainly than flatter the numbers. Nothing here is investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation; it is my own research, published so it can be read and argued with in the open. The blacked-out passages mark the parts of the process I keep proprietary. And because the framework recalibrates every week, where my read was wrong I expect the priors — not my ego — to be the first to say so.
