Weekly Selection | SECT Capital Quant Research

Redacted — proprietary method withheld. The space is kept so you can see where detail exists.

These are the 10 names I am backing for the week of September 14, 2026, and below each one I show my work: the momentum, the technicals, the sentiment, the fundamentals, and the macro I am leaning on. I do not ask you to take the picks on faith — I ask you to read the evidence and disagree if you can. The pillar weights and a few model internals stay redacted because they are the edge; everything that can be shown, is.

Macro environment

VIX

17.84

10Y−2Y

+0.33

HY OAS

2.70

Unemployment

4.1

SPY 20d

-1.82%

Here is how I read the backdrop: volatility is cheap at 17.8 — barely 1.12% a day — and cheap vol is exactly where I watch crowding hardest, the 10y−2y curve has steepened to +0.33, a quieter vote of confidence in duration, high-yield spreads at 2.70 are still contained, so credit is not yet contradicting the tape, and the S&P's trailing month is -1.8%, the trend I am actually trading against.

Volatility is the first thing I price, because it sets the size of every other bet. I scale gross exposure inversely to realised vol — target the risk, not the notional — so a calmer tape lets the book breathe and a violent one pulls it in automatically:

\sigma_{\text{daily}}\approx\dfrac{\mathrm{VIX}}{\sqrt{252}}\qquad w_{\text{gross}}\;\propto\;\dfrac{\sigma_{\text{target}}}{\sigma_{\text{daily}}}

Source: fred · as of 2026-09-13

How I make the call

I score every candidate from 0–100 on several independent pillars, then collapse them into one composite. The weighting is the part I keep back, but the structure is simple:

\text{Composite}(x) \;=\; \sum_i w_i \, S_i(x)

where \(S_i\) is a pillar score and \(w_i\) its weight. The exact pillar weights are mine to keep, so they are withheld; what I will tell you is that a neutral-pillar guard drops any pillar sitting at 50 (no signal) and renormalises the rest, so a silent factor never dilutes a loud one.

For the expected weekly return I do not trust a raw historical average at a given score — small samples lie. I shrink it toward a prior, blending the realised returns of past names that scored nearby with that prior in proportion to how much evidence I actually have:

\hat{r}(s) \;=\; \frac{n\,\bar r_{\text{near}} + k\,\pi(s)}{n + k}

Here \(k\) (the shrinkage strength) and the prior \(\pi\) take proprietary values , and they are exactly what I re-estimate as new weeks land — this is where the framework learns. The standard indicator formulas below I show in full, because none of that is the edge.

Indicator formula reference

RSI: $$\mathrm{RSI}_{14}=100-\frac{100}{1+RS},\quad RS=\frac{\overline{\text{gain}}_{14}}{\overline{\text{loss}}_{14}}$$

MACD: $$\mathrm{MACD}=\mathrm{EMA}_{12}-\mathrm{EMA}_{26},\quad \text{signal}=\mathrm{EMA}_9(\mathrm{MACD})$$

ATR: $$\mathrm{ATR}_{14}=\tfrac{1}{14}\sum TR,\quad TR=\max\big(H-L,\,|H-C_{-1}|,\,|L-C_{-1}|\big)$$

Bollinger: $$\mathrm{BB}=\mathrm{SMA}_{20}\pm 2\,\sigma_{20}$$

Cross-sectional z: $$z=\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}$$

The picks

#1 SMTC SMTC Semiconductors Composite 69.6 / 100

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	64.2
Catalyst	50.0	n/a
Sentiment	78.3
Technical	81.1
Fundamental	59.6
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	69.6	—
Universe percentile	99

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E	41.1	PEG	n/a
P/B	13.66	P/S	13.14
ROE	51.2	ROA	21.9
Net margin	n/a	Rev growth	25.4
Debt/Equity	n/a	EPS growth	1063.4

SMTC selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 69.6/100

#2 CRGY CRGY Energy Composite 59.2 / 100

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	48.2
Catalyst	50.0	n/a
Sentiment	80.2
Technical	62.1
Fundamental	61.2
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	59.2	—
Universe percentile	96

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E	36.4	PEG	n/a
P/B	0.53	P/S	1.35
ROE	1.1	ROA	0.5
Net margin	n/a	Rev growth	24.2
Debt/Equity	n/a	EPS growth	-1.8

CRGY selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 59.2/100

#3 HAFN HAFN Energy Composite 57.7 / 100

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	58.6
Catalyst	50.0	n/a
Sentiment	50.2
Technical	58.2
Fundamental	75.4
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	57.7	—
Universe percentile	94

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Hafnia (HAFN) Payouts Surge as Q2 Profit Hits Multi-Year High [positive]
HAFNIA LIMITED: Accelerated Vesting under Long-term Incentive Plan [negative]
HAFNIA LIMITED: Accelerated Vesting under Long-term Incentive Plan [negative]

Fundamentals

P/E	7.2	PEG	n/a
P/B	1.77	P/S	1.76
ROE	0.3	ROA	0.1
Net margin	0.2	Rev growth	0.5
Debt/Equity	n/a	EPS growth	2.7

HAFN selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 57.7/100

#4 AVT AVT Electrical Equipment Composite 59.5 / 100

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	42.3
Catalyst	80.0
Sentiment	68.8
Technical	77.7
Fundamental	67.9
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	59.5	—
Universe percentile	89

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

2 Small-Cap Stocks to Keep an Eye On and 1 We Turn Down [positive]
Here’s How Much You Would Have Made Owning Avnet Stock In The Last 5 Years [neutral]
CDW: A Balancing Act [negative]

Fundamentals

P/E	24.5	PEG	n/a
P/B	1.43	P/S	0.30
ROE	6.8	ROA	2.5
Net margin	n/a	Rev growth	24.5
Debt/Equity	n/a	EPS growth	46.1

AVT selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 59.5/100

#5 AVAH AVAH Health Care Composite 65.6 / 100

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	53.1
Catalyst	80.0
Sentiment	65.9
Technical	67.7
Fundamental	75.4
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	65.6	—
Universe percentile	86

Technicals (2026-09-11)

RSI(14)	72.3	ADX(14)	33.7
MACD	0.952	Signal	1.005
MACD hist	-0.053	ATR(14)	0.54
SMA 20	13.16	SMA 50	10.95
SMA 200	8.48	Vol ratio	0.53
Boll upper	15.39	Boll lower	10.94
CCI(20)	94.9	MFI(14)	71.7

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E	13.7	PEG	n/a
P/B	8.80	P/S	1.26
ROE	149.8	ROA	13.8
Net margin	n/a	Rev growth	19.5
Debt/Equity	n/a	EPS growth	1377.0

AVAH selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 65.6/100

#6 DELL DELL Technology Composite 57.1 / 100

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	55.5
Catalyst	50.0	n/a
Sentiment	55.6
Technical	54.0
Fundamental	61.1
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	57.1	—
Universe percentile	81

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Nscale’s Funding Talks Put Dell and Nokia’s AI Supply Relationships to the Test [positive]
Nscale’s Funding Talks Put Dell and Nokia’s AI Supply Relationships to the Test [positive]
Dell: Powerhouse AI Stock [neutral]

Fundamentals

P/E	n/a	PEG	n/a
P/B	n/a	P/S	n/a
ROE	-4.2	ROA	0.0
Net margin	0.1	Rev growth	0.2
Debt/Equity	-24.15	EPS growth	0.4

DELL selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 57.1/100

#7 GRDN GRDN Health Care Composite 55.7 / 100

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	58.8
Catalyst	50.0	n/a
Sentiment	50.0	n/a
Technical	72.7
Fundamental	54.6
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	55.7	—
Universe percentile	79

Technicals (2026-09-11)

RSI(14)	71.2	ADX(14)	21.5
MACD	0.949	Signal	0.165
MACD hist	0.785	ATR(14)	1.26
SMA 20	39.23	SMA 50	39.97
SMA 200	36.08	Vol ratio	2.20
Boll upper	43.86	Boll lower	34.61
CCI(20)	177.4	MFI(14)	83.0

Sentiment & news

No sentiment or news collected yet.

Fundamentals

P/E	56.2	PEG	n/a
P/B	9.26	P/S	1.91
ROE	30.8	ROA	15.8
Net margin	n/a	Rev growth	10.3
Debt/Equity	n/a	EPS growth	10.9

GRDN selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 55.7/100

#8 ADM ADM Food Products Composite 55.1 / 100

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	39.4
Catalyst	80.0
Sentiment	51.8
Technical	59.4
Fundamental	61.2
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	55.1	—
Universe percentile	61

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E	38.8	PEG	n/a
P/B	1.22	P/S	0.52
ROE	7.7	ROA	3.3
Net margin	n/a	Rev growth	-0.8
Debt/Equity	n/a	EPS growth	60.3

ADM selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 55.1/100

#9 SPCX SPCX Telecommunication Composite 49.9 / 100

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	49.6
Catalyst	50.0	n/a
Sentiment	53.6
Technical	70.7
Fundamental	45.7
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	49.9	—
Universe percentile	54

Technicals (2026-09-11)

RSI(14)	59.2	ADX(14)	20.7
MACD	4.193	Signal	3.307
MACD hist	0.886	ATR(14)	7.73
SMA 20	142.97	SMA 50	135.08
SMA 200	n/a	Vol ratio	0.76
Boll upper	153.53	Boll lower	132.41
CCI(20)	109.1	MFI(14)	83.7

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E	n/a	PEG	n/a
P/B	n/a	P/S	n/a
ROE	n/a	ROA	n/a
Net margin	n/a	Rev growth	n/a
Debt/Equity	0.30	EPS growth	n/a

SPCX selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 49.9/100

#10 SLDE SLDE Insurance Composite 57.9 / 100

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	42.2
Catalyst	50.0	n/a
Sentiment	63.6
Technical	61.5
Fundamental	82.1
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	57.9	—
Universe percentile	51

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E	5.7	PEG	n/a
P/B	2.17	P/S	2.18
ROE	50.7	ROA	18.4
Net margin	n/a	Rev growth	41.5
Debt/Equity	n/a	EPS growth	101.5

SLDE selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 57.9/100

A standing note on method. I run this book in paper-trading mode, so every fill you see is simulated rather than a realised, audited track record — I would rather state that plainly than flatter the numbers. Nothing here is investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation; it is my own research, published so it can be read and argued with in the open. The blacked-out passages mark the parts of the process I keep proprietary. And because the framework recalibrates every week, where my read was wrong I expect the priors — not my ego — to be the first to say so.