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Execution · Buys

Trade Execution — Buys PAPER TRADING

9 positions opened · week of September 07, 2026
Redacted — proprietary method withheld. The space is kept so you can see where detail exists.

Execution summary

I filled 9 market orders at Monday's open for the week of September 07, 2026. I show the ATR-scaled stop and the conviction I carried in; the position weightings stay proprietary.

TickerFillSharesValue $StopCompositeExp. return
WT0.000.00007718.80GTC ATR stop73.4
AVAH0.000.00007790.23GTC ATR stop50.9
TRLV0.000.00007813.92GTC ATR stop60.7
SMTC0.000.00007744.29GTC ATR stop73.6
CPRT0.000.00007780.66GTC ATR stop62.1
DELL0.000.00007797.15GTC ATR stop63.4
ELF0.000.00007764.14GTC ATR stop68.1
SBLK0.000.00007799.81GTC ATR stop55.0
EL0.000.00007786.11GTC ATR stop69.2

Macro environment

VIX
14.32
10Y−2Y
+0.41
HY OAS
2.65
Unemployment
4.1
SPY 20d
-0.50%

Here is how I read the backdrop: volatility is cheap at 14.3 — barely 0.90% a day — and cheap vol is exactly where I watch crowding hardest, the 10y−2y curve has steepened to +0.41, a quieter vote of confidence in duration, high-yield spreads at 2.65 are still contained, so credit is not yet contradicting the tape, and the S&P's trailing month is -0.5%, the trend I am actually trading against.

Volatility is the first thing I price, because it sets the size of every other bet. I scale gross exposure inversely to realised vol — target the risk, not the notional — so a calmer tape lets the book breathe and a violent one pulls it in automatically:

$$\sigma_{\text{daily}}\approx\dfrac{\mathrm{VIX}}{\sqrt{252}}\qquad w_{\text{gross}}\;\propto\;\dfrac{\sigma_{\text{target}}}{\sigma_{\text{daily}}}$$

Source: fred · as of 2026-09-06

Per-position evidence

#10 WT WT Financial Services Composite 73.4 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7718.80).

WT price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum47.3
Catalyst80.0
Sentiment76.6
Technical52.1
Fundamental54.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite73.4—
Universe percentile64

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/E34.6 PEGn/a
P/B4.15 P/S7.64
ROE19.2 ROA5.1
Net marginn/a Rev growth37.1
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth8.1
WT selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 73.4/100
#1 AVAH AVAH Health Care Composite 50.9 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7790.23).

AVAH price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum61.2
Catalyst80.0
Sentiment50.0n/a
Technical57.1
Fundamental75.4
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite50.9—
Universe percentile99

Technicals (2026-09-01)

RSI(14)72.7 ADX(14)34.3
MACD1.145 Signal1.030
MACD hist0.116 ATR(14)0.57
SMA 2011.63 SMA 5010.19
SMA 2008.31 Vol ratio0.47
Boll upper15.56 Boll lower7.71
CCI(20)63.5 MFI(14)58.3

Fundamentals

P/E13.2 PEGn/a
P/B8.80 P/S1.22
ROE149.8 ROA13.8
Net marginn/a Rev growth19.5
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth1377.0
AVAH selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 50.9/100
#2 TRLV TRLV Pharmaceuticals Composite 60.7 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7813.92).

TRLV price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum69.4
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment56.9
Technical68.8
Fundamental66.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite60.7—
Universe percentile96

Technicals (2026-09-04)

RSI(14)72.4 ADX(14)43.8
MACD0.754 Signal0.628
MACD hist0.125 ATR(14)0.58
SMA 2010.67 SMA 509.54
SMA 200n/a Vol ratio1.49
Boll upper12.76 Boll lower8.58
CCI(20)97.3 MFI(14)77.7

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/S1.57
ROE-6.8 ROA-2.9
Net marginn/a Rev growth-1.4
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growthn/a
TRLV selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 60.7/100
#3 SMTC SMTC Semiconductors Composite 73.6 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7744.29).

SMTC price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum48.6
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment73.9
Technical57.0
Fundamental65.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite73.6—
Universe percentile94

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/E41.1 PEGn/a
P/B13.66 P/S13.14
ROE51.2 ROA21.9
Net marginn/a Rev growth25.4
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth1063.4
SMTC selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 73.6/100
#4 CPRT CPRT Unknown Composite 62.1 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7780.66).

CPRT price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum45.9
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment49.9
Technical62.0
Fundamental74.8
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite62.1—
Universe percentile91

Technicals (2026-09-04)

RSI(14)64.0 ADX(14)26.4
MACD0.911 Signal0.927
MACD hist-0.016 ATR(14)1.02
SMA 2032.21 SMA 5030.08
SMA 20034.45 Vol ratio0.59
Boll upper35.45 Boll lower28.97
CCI(20)68.7 MFI(14)42.4

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/Sn/a
ROE0.3 ROA0.2
Net margin0.3 Rev growth0.1
Debt/Equity0.02 EPS growth0.1
CPRT selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 62.1/100
#5 DELL DELL Technology Composite 63.4 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7797.15).

DELL price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum59.0
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment63.6
Technical68.4
Fundamental61.1
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite63.4—
Universe percentile86

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/Sn/a
ROE-4.2 ROA0.1
Net margin0.1 Rev growth0.2
Debt/Equity-22.19 EPS growth0.4
DELL selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 63.4/100
#6 ELF ELF Consumer products Composite 68.1 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7764.14).

ELF price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum48.0
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment80.2
Technical59.7
Fundamental54.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite68.1—
Universe percentile84

Technicals (2026-09-04)

RSI(14)69.7 ADX(14)51.8
MACD6.351 Signal6.445
MACD hist-0.093 ATR(14)3.98
SMA 20101.04 SMA 5087.73
SMA 20076.04 Vol ratio0.84
Boll upper113.73 Boll lower88.35
CCI(20)90.5 MFI(14)80.3

Fundamentals

P/E245.9 PEGn/a
P/B3.17 P/S3.95
ROE5.2 ROA2.5
Net marginn/a Rev growth31.2
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth-41.7
ELF selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 68.1/100
#8 SBLK SBLK Marine Composite 55.0 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7799.81).

SBLK price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum53.4
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment76.7
Technical65.7
Fundamental56.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite55.0—
Universe percentile76

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

SBLK selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 55.0/100
#9 EL EL Consumer Composite 69.2 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7786.11).

EL price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum50.3
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment66.6
Technical51.0
Fundamental52.7
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite69.2—
Universe percentile74

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/E206.5 PEGn/a
P/B7.50 P/S2.50
ROE4.6 ROA0.9
Net marginn/a Rev growth5.1
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth-43.6
EL selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 69.2/100
A standing note on method. I run this book in paper-trading mode, so every fill you see is simulated rather than a realised, audited track record — I would rather state that plainly than flatter the numbers. Nothing here is investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation; it is my own research, published so it can be read and argued with in the open. The blacked-out passages mark the parts of the process I keep proprietary. And because the framework recalibrates every week, where my read was wrong I expect the priors — not my ego — to be the first to say so.