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Execution · Buys

Trade Execution — Buys PAPER TRADING

10 positions opened · week of August 03, 2026
Redacted — proprietary method withheld. The space is kept so you can see where detail exists.

Execution summary

I filled 10 market orders at Monday's open for the week of August 03, 2026. I show the ATR-scaled stop and the conviction I carried in; the position weightings stay proprietary.

TickerFillSharesValue $StopCompositeExp. return
INSW0.000.00007693.97GTC ATR stop64.2
QTWO0.000.00007693.97GTC ATR stop64.8
ITRI0.000.00007693.97GTC ATR stop59.2
DK0.000.00007693.97GTC ATR stop60.2
DXCM0.000.00007693.97GTC ATR stop60.1
AMC0.000.00007693.97GTC ATR stop62.7
MANH0.000.00007693.97GTC ATR stop62.0
WHD0.000.00007693.97GTC ATR stop53.9
LPG0.000.00007693.97GTC ATR stop59.1
AMBA0.000.00007693.97GTC ATR stop56.2

Macro environment

VIX
17.09
10Y−2Y
+0.47
HY OAS
2.84
Unemployment
4.2
SPY 20d
+0.09%

Here is how I read the backdrop: volatility is cheap at 17.1 — barely 1.08% a day — and cheap vol is exactly where I watch crowding hardest, the 10y−2y curve has steepened to +0.47, a quieter vote of confidence in duration, high-yield spreads at 2.84 are still contained, so credit is not yet contradicting the tape, and the S&P's trailing month is +0.1%, the trend I am actually trading against.

Volatility is the first thing I price, because it sets the size of every other bet. I scale gross exposure inversely to realised vol — target the risk, not the notional — so a calmer tape lets the book breathe and a violent one pulls it in automatically:

$$\sigma_{\text{daily}}\approx\dfrac{\mathrm{VIX}}{\sqrt{252}}\qquad w_{\text{gross}}\;\propto\;\dfrac{\sigma_{\text{target}}}{\sigma_{\text{daily}}}$$

Source: fred · as of 2026-08-02

Per-position evidence

#1 INSW INSW Energy Composite 64.2 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7693.97).

INSW price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum50.7
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment88.5
Technical62.3
Fundamental59.1
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite64.2
Universe percentile99

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

INSW selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 64.2/100
#2 QTWO QTWO Technology Composite 64.8 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7693.97).

QTWO price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum61.4
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment62.8
Technical76.1
Fundamental65.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite64.8
Universe percentile96

Technicals (2026-07-31)

RSI(14)69.7 ADX(14)29.0
MACD2.908 Signal2.406
MACD hist0.502 ATR(14)2.51
SMA 2055.00 SMA 5049.53
SMA 20056.97 Vol ratio2.79
Boll upper60.85 Boll lower49.14
CCI(20)148.1 MFI(14)72.4

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/Sn/a
ROE0.1 ROA0.1
Net margin0.1 Rev growth0.1
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth2.2
QTWO selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 64.8/100
#3 ITRI ITRI Electrical Equipment Composite 59.2 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7693.97).

ITRI price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum57.5
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment65.0
Technical74.9
Fundamental47.1
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite59.2
Universe percentile94

Technicals (2026-07-31)

RSI(14)67.1 ADX(14)25.2
MACD3.988 Signal2.146
MACD hist1.842 ATR(14)3.96
SMA 2088.05 SMA 5084.65
SMA 20094.61 Vol ratio0.92
Boll upper102.40 Boll lower73.70
CCI(20)144.6 MFI(14)63.6

Fundamentals

P/E14.5 PEGn/a
P/B2.48 P/S1.84
ROE16.5 ROA7.1
Net marginn/a Rev growth-5.7
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth2.2
ITRI selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 59.2/100
#4 DK DK Energy Composite 60.2 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7693.97).

DK price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum50.8
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment78.7
Technical50.1
Fundamental54.4
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite60.2
Universe percentile91

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/Sn/a
ROE-0.0 ROA-0.0
Net margin-0.0 Rev growth-0.1
Debt/Equity1.62 EPS growth1.0
DK selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 60.2/100
#5 DXCM DXCM Health Care Composite 60.1 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7693.97).

DXCM price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum54.3
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment64.8
Technical58.9
Fundamental65.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite60.1
Universe percentile89

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/E38.5 PEGn/a
P/B9.43 P/S6.91
ROE33.8 ROA13.4
Net marginn/a Rev growth16.1
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth77.5
DXCM selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 60.1/100
#6 AMC AMC Media Composite 62.7 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7693.97).

AMC price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum62.3
Catalyst74.0
Sentiment71.5
Technical76.8
Fundamental52.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite62.7
Universe percentile86

Technicals (2026-07-30)

RSI(14)67.9 ADX(14)26.5
MACD0.179 Signal0.105
MACD hist0.073 ATR(14)0.22
SMA 202.15 SMA 502.05
SMA 2001.80 Vol ratio0.66
Boll upper2.79 Boll lower1.51
CCI(20)142.4 MFI(14)65.1
AMC selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 62.7/100
#7 MANH MANH Technology Composite 62.0 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7693.97).

MANH price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum59.8
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment63.2
Technical60.8
Fundamental58.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite62.0
Universe percentile84

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/Sn/a
ROE1.4 ROA0.3
Net margin0.2 Rev growth0.0
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth0.0
MANH selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 62.0/100
#8 WHD WHD Energy Composite 53.9 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7693.97).

WHD price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum54.7
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment65.7
Technical64.0
Fundamental46.1
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite53.9
Universe percentile81

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/E31.9 PEGn/a
P/B2.97 P/S4.91
ROE6.2 ROA3.6
Net marginn/a Rev growth4.5
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth-59.4
WHD selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 53.9/100
#9 LPG LPG Energy Composite 59.1 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7693.97).

LPG price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum53.8
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment52.2
Technical78.7
Fundamental73.8
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite59.1
Universe percentile79

Technicals (2026-07-31)

RSI(14)67.8 ADX(14)25.0
MACD1.705 Signal1.207
MACD hist0.498 ATR(14)1.63
SMA 2042.61 SMA 5041.70
SMA 20033.62 Vol ratio0.99
Boll upper48.00 Boll lower37.23
CCI(20)121.8 MFI(14)80.6

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/Sn/a
ROE0.2 ROA0.1
Net margin0.4 Rev growth0.4
Debt/Equity0.49 EPS growth1.1
LPG selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 59.1/100
#10 AMBA AMBA Semiconductors Composite 56.2 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7693.97).

AMBA price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum52.7
Catalyst80.0
Sentiment65.7
Technical82.6
Fundamental37.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite56.2
Universe percentile76

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/B4.55 P/S9.66
ROE-11.8 ROA-9.1
Net marginn/a Rev growth28.1
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growthn/a
AMBA selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 56.2/100
A standing note on method. I run this book in paper-trading mode, so every fill you see is simulated rather than a realised, audited track record — I would rather state that plainly than flatter the numbers. Nothing here is investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation; it is my own research, published so it can be read and argued with in the open. The blacked-out passages mark the parts of the process I keep proprietary. And because the framework recalibrates every week, where my read was wrong I expect the priors — not my ego — to be the first to say so.