Weekly Results

← All research

Redacted — proprietary method withheld. The space is kept so you can see where detail exists.

Avg return

+0.59%

Net P&L

$450.37

Win rate

60%

Positions

The book closed the week up +0.59%. I will take it, but a green week is not a verdict on the process — one week is noise, and I read it as such. 60% of the 10 names worked; I care more about whether the winners were big enough to pay for the losers than about the hit rate alone. Either way, the realised dispersion feeds straight back into next week’s priors.

Ticker	Buy	Sell	Return	P&L $	Predicted	Days	Exit reason
IQV	211.42	233.64	+10.51%	+806.43	n/a	4	Friday scheduled sell
BURL	354.25	369.76	+4.38%	+335.95	n/a	4	Friday scheduled sell
LH	299.51	307.02	+2.51%	+192.40	n/a	4	Friday scheduled sell
SEIC	100.45	102.14	+1.69%	+129.48	n/a	4	Friday scheduled sell
BOX	30.66	31.07	+1.32%	+101.36	n/a	4	Friday scheduled sell
CFR	164.00	164.94	+0.57%	+43.98	n/a	4	Friday scheduled sell
FAF	76.37	75.04	-1.74%	-133.38	n/a	4	Friday scheduled sell
SXT	126.61	123.57	-2.40%	-184.24	n/a	4	Friday scheduled sell
GD	390.07	377.96	-3.10%	-238.22	n/a	4	Friday scheduled sell
PII	74.01	68.19	-7.86%	-603.39	n/a		stop-loss -7.9% <= -7.8% (ATR)

Predicted is the expectation I carried in before the trade; the calibration behind it is mine and stays proprietary.

A standing note on method. I run this book in paper-trading mode, so every fill you see is simulated rather than a realised, audited track record — I would rather state that plainly than flatter the numbers. Nothing here is investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation; it is my own research, published so it can be read and argued with in the open. The blacked-out passages mark the parts of the process I keep proprietary. And because the framework recalibrates every week, where my read was wrong I expect the priors — not my ego — to be the first to say so.