← All research
Execution · Buys

Trade Execution — Buys PAPER TRADING

10 positions opened · week of July 27, 2026
Redacted — proprietary method withheld. The space is kept so you can see where detail exists.

Execution summary

I filled 10 market orders at Monday's open for the week of July 27, 2026. I show the ATR-scaled stop and the conviction I carried in; the position weightings stay proprietary.

TickerFillSharesValue $StopCompositeExp. return
SXT126.6160.60387673.05GTC ATR stopn/an/a
CFR164.0046.78697673.05GTC ATR stopn/an/a
PII74.01103.67597673.05GTC ATR stopn/an/a
GD390.0719.67107673.05GTC ATR stopn/an/a
BOX30.66250.26267673.05GTC ATR stopn/an/a
IQV211.4236.29297673.05GTC ATR stopn/an/a
FAF76.37100.47207673.05GTC ATR stopn/an/a
BURL354.2521.66007673.05GTC ATR stopn/an/a
SEIC100.4576.38687673.05GTC ATR stopn/an/a
LH299.5125.61877673.05GTC ATR stopn/an/a

Macro environment

VIX
18.70
10Y−2Y
+0.36
HY OAS
2.77
Unemployment
4.2
SPY 20d
+0.74%

Here is how I read the backdrop: volatility sits mid-band at 18.7 (about 1.18% a day), neither complacent nor panicked, the 10y−2y curve has steepened to +0.36, a quieter vote of confidence in duration, high-yield spreads at 2.77 are still contained, so credit is not yet contradicting the tape, and the S&P's trailing month is +0.7%, the trend I am actually trading against.

Volatility is the first thing I price, because it sets the size of every other bet. I scale gross exposure inversely to realised vol — target the risk, not the notional — so a calmer tape lets the book breathe and a violent one pulls it in automatically:

$$\sigma_{\text{daily}}\approx\dfrac{\mathrm{VIX}}{\sqrt{252}}\qquad w_{\text{gross}}\;\propto\;\dfrac{\sigma_{\text{target}}}{\sigma_{\text{daily}}}$$

Source: fred · as of 2026-07-26

Per-position evidence

A standing note on method. I run this book in paper-trading mode, so every fill you see is simulated rather than a realised, audited track record — I would rather state that plainly than flatter the numbers. Nothing here is investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation; it is my own research, published so it can be read and argued with in the open. The blacked-out passages mark the parts of the process I keep proprietary. And because the framework recalibrates every week, where my read was wrong I expect the priors — not my ego — to be the first to say so.